Commonwealth North 

Notes from April 5 Gasline Study Group

(Unedited and not approved or agreed upon by participants)

Attendees: Dayle Lyke, Bob Bulmer, Grant Hunter, Mark Foster, Rich Wilson, Pat Burden, Karen Matthias, Jeff Staser, Blair Murphy, Jerry Strang, Brian Davies, Joe Farrell, Brian Wenzel, Wendy King

Discussion: (Primarily information and questions from Wendy King)

  • The AGIA bill, inducements and requirements-review of bill
  • There are midstream inducements
    • The pipeline
    • The 500 million
  • There are Resource inducements
    • Streamline the permitting process only to licensee
    • 3 components
      • Regulations (higher of)
      • RIK RIV switching-90 day
      • Tax stability provision
  • ConocoPhilips concerns
    • 1. Exclusivity
    • 2. Bid requirement variables
  • Timing is important-steel and labor cost continue to rise
  • If the resource side and shipping commitments are address, the project will fall into place
  • Has to include the cost estimate of gas processing (getting CO2 out)
  • See chart of two factors:
    • Cost
    • Gas prices
  • The deal needs to be public and balanced
  • ConocoPhilips already is experienced and value added
  • Two areas ConocoPhilips is testifying:
    • Exclusivity
    • Bid variables
  • Exclusivity means the only one who gets $500mil and AGIA coordinator
  • The problem with exclusivity is that Alaska can be at risk for damages if the wrong winner is chosen (e.g. what if the winner can't complete the project-stuck with them for 10 years and other possible litigation issues for unforeseen circumstances)
    o Exclusivity is focused on the pipeline
  • Most important success factor is if the company chosen can attract customers (possibly no one else than the big 3 can be included)
  • Possibly $100 billion in shipping commitments are necessary for years
  • ConocoPhilips has objections to taking the State money-inducing a low risk side of the project and many strings (rights to information etc.)
  • $500 million really isn't that much compared to the cost
  • Gas price and capital costs are greatest concern for all interested companies
  • CP would partner on a case-by-case basis like in Prudhoe
  • All study group wants to know if there is a way to get away from lowest common denominator when working with the other producers?
  • The size of the pipe is variable so no one knows-depends on cost and economies of scale
  • The problem is that AGIA is not limited to the type of proposed projects or parts of the project-could end up comparing large apples to small oranges
  • The group discussed the types of projects that are possible
    • Variables in partnerships
    • Anti-trust issues
  • CP doesn't like the fixed dates in AGIA-don't like not being flexible even if negotiated with money and there are other requirements that limit acceptable proposals
  • Review of slides re:
    • Project risk allocation
    • Rolled in rates-FERC regulation
  • There is the issue of public perception & politics that shape the subjectivity of the process-has to be a long term perception of commitment

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